Monday, 20 April 2009

Russia's problems in the First World War

Russian Problems at War.

The war of 1914 interrupted the work of the duma, and Russia faced severe problems. Russia’s decline was due to its economy rather than its military, with three years of total war being too much of a strain, and Russia which was already weak, was put under intense pressure. Russia like many of the six empires of Germany, Austria, Turkey and itself, collapsed due to the war. The impact of war can be put uunder six headings of Inflation, Food, Transportation, the Army, Morale and the role of the Tsar

Inflation set in because of the war. Witte’s policy had stablised the finanical areas of Russia and it had huge gold reserves. Government spending increased from 4 million roubles to 30 million and heavy taxes/foreign loans did not cut the bill. Gold standard was then abandoned, and inflation set in to allow wages to be paid. However earnings doubled whilst prices quadrupled.

Food Supplies, the requisitioning of fertilisers for the military made the peasant farmers struggle, and it did take years to set in however. Part of the shortage of food was because peasants started to hoard their stock as it was no longer profitable due to inflation. Hunger went on to famine, and the military took most of the available food and transport too which was vital in transporting food.

Transport was the major cause of war-time shortages, and the increase in railways was simply not suistained. The massive pressure upon the trains put by the military led to mass blocked lines and trains stranded by engine failure and signalling. The Russian railways essentially collapsed. Food rotted on trains that had broke down, partially causing the shortages, and Moscow/Petrograd only received a third of their regular food by 1916.

Russia put fewer than half the amount of troops out in the war on comparison to its population than any other nation. However, the strength in numbers was undermined as it lacked equipment, not due to under spending but poor administration and distribution of the equipment. The President of the Duma, Rodzianko complained that this had dismal effects, such as hospitals were 10’s of miles away from the soldiers, and lacked the equipment to treat people, with soldiers being bare-footed

Rodzianko believed that strong central leadership was needed in order to be organised but the tsar did not provide. The Tsar then faced criticisms, as he had formally taken control over the armed services, intentionally to rally the country around him but this was a risky business if the war was being fought badly.

Morale had arrived at an all-time low, as food shortages, bad transport and bad news from the war mounted such as the appalling casualty list, and mutinies also began, though on a similar scale to that of other countries.

SUMMARY
Total war, huge strain on Russia socially, politically and economically

INFLATION – wages doubled but prices quadrupled.
FOOD SUPPLIES – lack of fertiliser and claiming of food by the army, hoarding by peasants and mostly the broken transport led to famine
TRANSPORT – Broken and abandoned, food not delivered and struggled under weight of military
ARMY – Fought well and valiantly, but let down by the administration and distribution of equipment and hospital beacons in conjunction to positions
TSAR- Nicholas II fault if war was going badly, and it was.
MORALE – once high, now low due to inflation, famine, casualty list and transport set in a low point for Russia.

Wednesday, 8 April 2009

Land Reform, Economy after Witte and the Four Dumas

Stolypin like Witte wanted to strengthen the Tsarist rule. He used the phrase, suppression, and only then, reformation, but he also believed in reformation to solve serious bitter social issues. He also believed in industrial process, but that the nation needed to be fed, this meant agriculture. The Rural crisis was basically the overpopulation of the countryside (82% peasants) and so a shortage in land, and so a series of bad harvests set (poor weather + land) set of terrible famines. Stolypin immediately after the 1905 revolution set about reformation of the land.

He first, ‘de-revolutionised the peasantry’ and pretty much introduced that all outstanding payments would eventually be cancelled outright. The mortgage due to emancipation had impoverished the peasants and was the reason for their inclusion in the revolution. Secondly, was the ‘Wager on the Strong’, which was a continuation of his successful peasantry decision. Farmers were told to replace the strip system with fenced fields. He opened a land bank, to provide funds for the peasant to buy land. This was called wager on the strong, to create a layer of rich and strong peasants which would turn the massive population as tsarist supporters.

Whether this was successful is debatable, as Russian peasantry were so conservative it prevented them from embracing reformist change and there was doubt about replacing the strip system. However, it did create a layer of strong peasants, with proof from tax returns, a significant minority paying higher tax. It is also true that land reform needs time to work, 20 years plus, but the war of 1914 only allowed eight. Figures that support success are new independent farms, 1907 – 48,500, 1908 – 508,500 though by 1913 the policy was clear to be losing steam, 1913 -134,554 as the ministry of agriculture saw the conservatism a problem.

SUMMARY
-Terrible Famines due to poor land, overcrowding, mass peasantry and bad harvests.

'De-revolutionised the peasantry' - Ruled out emancipation decree mortgage.
'Wager on the strong' Land bank + replace strips, for rich peasants to be Tsar supporters

DEBATE
- Land reform needed time to work, interrupted by WW1.
- Huge conservatism in peasantry, unlikely to convert from strip farming
- did create layer of strong peasants
- Eventually started to lose steam


THE ECONOMY AFTER SERGEI WITTE

The economy improvement has simply not been the work of just Witte, it was a worldwide boom, but by this point, industrial recession set in. This was difficult for Russia, as the boom meant huge migration to the cities and as it was not organised or managed, acute overcrowding was a problem. Originally these peasants who migrated to become workers, accepted their grim conditions because of increased pay, but when the boom ended, this turned to unemployment, who became homeless and had their hopes of a better life completely ruined. This was a contributing factor to the social unrest 1900-1907. The number of strikes also began to increase from as low as 222 in 1908 to 3000 in 1914

However figures show that the number of factories increased by 2000, state revenue had doubled and workers had increased by almost half a million over the period of recession 1908-1913. Few workers really gained from the expansion however, and the wage of workers barely increased although inflation did.

The key question is how strong the Russian economy had become by 1914, and evidence suggests that if WW1 never intervened, the Russian economy would have continued to develop and industrialise into a comparable size of the other great nations, using the figures of growth and expansion. It can be argued that Russia would never have reached this stage, as at 1914 80% were still peasantry and undermines the industrial development.

Alex Nove, on the subject says that there are convincing arguments on either side, ‘if growth rates for industry and agriculture were projected over 50 years, there is no doubt that they would lead decent lives, however this involves necessary adjustments to manage the state by the Tsar to account for the changing society’, simply that the Russian economy would of continued to grow, but the tsar would have to make reasonable and rational reformation to use the money for the gain of the country, and that this most certainly would not be the case. Still, it is impossible to tell as WW1 intervened. Nove uses the phrase ‘There must surely be a limit to the game of what-might-have-been’

SUMMARY
Worldwide economic improvement
- Migration of peasants to cities to work,
- Ended boom saw acute overcrowding- growing population not managed.
- Peasants hopes of new life dashed, leading to social unrest, more strikes towards 1914

Expansion
- state revenue doubled to 4Bil
- 2000 more factories
- Workforce increase by 400,000
- Wages however DID NOT INCREASE whilst INFLATION did

Debate
- Russian economy would of continued to expand if not for WW1
- Argued that 80% peasantry undermined this

Nove
- Growth rates continued for 50YR than Russian lives would be better
- But the Tsar would have to become more reformist to apply its economy for the benefit of Russia and its people.


The Duma was the most important concession to the liberals of Russia. The First Duma, April – June 2006 had its hopes dashed before it even came together. The Tsar successfully arranged a huge loan from France, lessening the likelihood that the Dumas would have economic hold over the Tsar. The Tsars Fundamental Laws meaning the tsar could effectively dismiss the Duma, and they also announced that the Duma was to be of two chambers or bi-cameral, the elected lower house and the state council of which was appointed by the tsar, who could veto. This second chamber effectively deprived the elected chamber of any power in decision making.

This caused bitterness at the first meeting, and the first election returned a majority of reformist parties. They voiced their anger and demanded the rights of the Duma to be increased. The tsar, is reported to have said ‘curse the Duma. It is all Witte’s doing.’ After two months of bitterness, the tsar dissolved the Duma. This lead to 200 Kadets and Labourists to reassemble in Vyborg, Finland to draw up an appeal for the Russian people to defy the government by refusing to pay taxes and disobeying conscription orders. However the Kadets made a tactical error as the Russian people did not give passive resistance but scattered violence and so the government could fight fire with fire, giving them a reason to arrest the Kadets and bar them for Duma election. The Tsar appointed Stolypin to quell the disturbances of scattered violence and Stolypin had 2500 people executed, giving the hanging noose the nickname ‘Stolypin’s necktie’. The Kadets never really recovered from their humiliation, and so this gave the extremists to give their view.

The second Duma, feb-june 1907 saw the Kadets lose half of their seats, which were filled by SD’s and SR’s, which made the Duma very anti-government. However, since the very rightwing reactionary conservatives had also grown in numbers, there was disagreement within it and the government. This was hostile to the government, and Stolypin who was willing to work with the duma saw his land reformation opposed. When SD’s and SR’s were accused of rebellion, the Tsar dissolved.

The Third Duma Nov 07- June 1912, the tsar was keen to keep the Duma as it made Russia look democratic, France and Britain who he was in talks with was very impressed by this advancement. He was also keen as Peter Stolypins new electoral laws allowed him to effectively rig the election by only allowing middle-class to vote. This meant that the third and fourth duma’s were heavily right-wing and reactionary and so criticisms were muted. Stolypin then finally got his land reforms passed without any opposition and the 2571 progressive reformations saw important proposals for modernising the army, social reform of education and national insurance.

The fourth Duma, Nov 1912- august 1913, had started to voice criticisms about the tsar’s government and to the point of they started to not put through new proposals as the tsar’s government was in danger of collapse. This was seen as the ‘rubber stamp’ Duma, just there for show but they did continue with social reform work, although often critical of government.



SUMMARY
First Duma – very reformist parties, doomed from beginning,
- Loan from France
- Bi-cameral Duma
- Fundamental laws

Tsar dissolved after mass bitterness from reformist parties. 200 kadets/labourists met in Vyborg. Appeal drawn up – passive resistance. Peasants mistook for violence. Stolypin appointed to crush scattered violence. Militant kadets banned from next duma election

Second Duma – SR’s and SD’s with Reactionaries.
- Disagreement within themselves as very extremist against each other
- Disagreement with the Tsar heavily
- Reformist parties discredited
- Tsar dissolves

Third Duma
Just Reactionaries
- Britain and France impressed with ‘Democratic Russia’
- Stolypin rigged election so only middle/class could vote
- This removed criticisms and social reform began
- National Insurance, military proposals and schooling, also no criticisms for Tsar

Fourth Duma
Reactionaries
- Saw as a rubber stamp of the Tsar
- Continued with some reform
- However more judgemental of the Tsar, began to voice criticisms
- Almost gave up towards end as Tsar’s gov was in danger.

Tuesday, 7 April 2009

The 1905 revolution

The groups that led to revolution were the Industrial Workers, the Peasantry and the Reformist middle class. This was broad and when it came however it was accidental and due to the ill-judgement of the Tsar and influenced by Recession and bad harvests. It all started with Bloody Sunday, where Father Gapon lead a peaceful march to the winter palace in St.Petersburg, to present a petition begging for better conditions. The march however, caused panic and the marchers were fired on, with up to 200 people being killed. This ruined the image of the Tsar as the defender of the Russian people.

Disorder spread from this, with huge strikes around the country with terrorism against land owners organised by the SR’s. The RJW humiliation led to the assassination of Plehve. Peasants also seized huge country estates and squatted in them, who were influenced due to the huge mortgage’s they had to pay (emancipation decree). The nationalists also pushed for equal rights and an end to Russification. The Kadets persuaded all of the Liberal Groups to form a Union of Unions to replace the ‘gang of robbers’ in power.

The Potemkin Mutiny was one of many mutinies in the Army and Navy, as they were mainly peasants and had difficulty attacking their own kind. The crew of the Prince Potemkin mutinied at sea after having to live on stale water, borsch and putrid meat. The sailors elected a reprehensive to approach the captain to complain (Peter Vakulenchuk) and he was shot. The crew then attacked the officers, and took the ship. They sailed to the port of Odessa where a strike was happening and the Crew were treated as heroes. Troops were sent to Odessa and the people were drove into the sea. This was deeply troubling as a government that couldn’t rely on its army could possibly lose control all together. Witte also feared returning troops from the RJW would join the revolution.

The industrial unrest grown into a huge general strike and in a number of cities (Moscow, Petrograd) workers formed an elected soviet, to represent for better conditions and rights. They were however infiltrated by Revolutionaries who saw their potential

The Tsar was faced by a huge amount of opposition, and he had to concede in order to survive, mainly by appeasement. Witte drafted an October manifesto, in which the liberals were the first to be conceded.
- creation of an elected Duma
- Censorship ended
- Legalisation of trade unions
- Political parties given rights.

The liberals felt they had made a genuine advance. The Peasants were next pacified, by the declaration that the emancipation mortgage payments were graduated down until they were infact struck off. The peasants immediately stopped land seizures. The government had now appeased the major two areas of society, the ‘dark masses’ and the ‘reformists’. The government dealt with the workers, with suppression, killing many and soviets were burned down and Trotsky arrested. Nicholas then dismissed Witte, showing that he was truly out of touch.

The revolutionaries never really started the revolution and no SD’s really impacted the events. The tsarist system however, remained unscathed by the revolution, and proved that as long as the tsar held his nerve and the military remained loyal, the Tsarist system would stay strong. There was only little mutiny in the military; the peasants were easily appeased, as were the peasants. The Tsar also took back some of the concessions made by the Fundamental Law OF 1906 in which the Tsar could effectively ignore the Duma ‘the sovereign emperor possesses the initiative in all legislative matters. It is also true that few liberals enjoyed the Revolution as the grotesque manor of the peasants.

SUMMARY
Reasons for revolution
– Autocracy
– Emancipation Mortgages
– Economic and Agricultural backwardness (recession + bad harvests)
– Repression of the people
– Poor conditions
– RJW humiliation
– Russification/Anti-Semitism

Bloody Sunday
Peaceful march by Father Gapon, causes panic. 200 DEAD, damages Tsar’s image.
Strikes follow and Social unrest, peasants seize property, the Mensheviks form the Union of Union
Mutiny of Potemkin, forced to eat poor nutrition and ended up taking ship, sailed to Odessa, people forced into the sea.
The Soviets are formed by workers.

OCTOBER MANIFESTO
Liberals appeased
- Political Rights for parties, legalising TU’s, No censorship and lessening of Russification
- Duma to be created.
Peasants bought off by gradual removal of emancipation
Workers crushed and soviets burned,
Fundamental Law discredits duma

The first united opposition, but the tsarist system remained unhurt, as long as government kept its nerve and military remained loyal.

Monday, 6 April 2009

THE OPPOSITION TO TSARDOM

The Liberal reformers made up of the Octobrists and the Kadets. The Octobrists were loyal to the government but believed in maintenance through dumas, who came together through various interests such as commercial and industrialists. A leading member is notably Rodzianko. Octobrists did frequently speak out against tsar although being dismissed by more revolutionary members.

The Kadets wanted Russia to develop as a constitutional monarch with a fully elected constituent assembly which could sort out every problem, a basis of which all liberals looked for. They wanted less censorship, legalisation of trade unions and political rights for parties plus a Cons Assem, plus more rights for people and the end of emancipation.

The Revolutionaries were contained by three areas, the Populists, the Social Revolutionaries, and the Social Democrats. The Populists regarded the future of Russia as the peasants and should overthrow the tsar. Populist leaders were middle/upper class and wanted to educate the peasantry. They turned to terrorism (subgroup the PEOPLES WILL) blew Alexander II to pieces but this made them look bad as Alexander was reformist, but they did inspire.

The Social Revolutionaries grew from the Populists as the economic upturn introduced interest from social/political problems, and reshaped the populists into the revolutionaries. Leon Trotsky, a member of the SR’s mention on how they were often split on opinion with the ‘Left (terrorist approach) and Right’ SR’s (moderate and willing to work with others). They assassinated Plehve and GD Sergei successfully. They did appeal to the peasants with ‘revolutionary socialism’.

The Social Democrats, had the aim to achieve revolution by following Marxist principles, following a series of ‘class struggles’ in which they would use the proletariat to overthrow the bourgeoisie, then remove them and create the perfect society, and this was helped by the economic spurt as they could direct the workers to revolution. Plekhanov originally converted the writings to Russian for reading, but members became impatient with him and so Lenin, a critic of Plekhanov began to get support. Lenin impacted with his colleague Martov, THE ISKRA newspaper. Lenin’s main difference was he believed in a small selected and talented few to push the party forward rather than a broad coalition of groups like Plekhanov. Martov agreed with Plekhanov and so the SD’s split into the Bolsheviks and the Mensheviks. The Mensheviks believed in a broad, open speaking party with alliance to other Revolutionaries and that Russia was not ready for revolution. The Bolsheviks believed revolution could be broke down in stages, with a tight knit party and was spoken in ideas by a central committee or ‘democratic centralism’ (true democracy was the Bolsheviks followed his exact instructions and other leaders)


SUMMARY

Liberal Parties
- Octobrists formed after OCT-MANIFESTO, hopes of Duma creation
- Kadets, a constituent assembly which would be elected under the Tsar hoping for certain rights as no censorship or political rights for parties

REVOLUTIONARIES
- Populists, with ‘Peoples Will’ believed in peasant revolution to overthrow the tsar
- Social Revolutionaries, the updated populists with Left and Right
- The Social Democrats, Marxist believers of proletariat overthrowing bourgeoisie. Split to Mensheviks (broad party, open discussion) and Bolsheviks of Lenin (tight knit, central committee and democratic centralism and class struggle)

The RUSSO-JAPANESE WAR, 1904 saw Nicholas face his first foreign affair problem. Russia clashed with Japan for three motives, Russia’s expansion policy (wanted Japanese land), to obtain an ice free port and for military glory. Plehve said that this would distract revolution, although Witte was the real man behind it. Russia looked down on Japan as an inferior nation and so an easy victory. The Russians then so, deliberately rejected proposals for settlement over korea hoping for conflict.

The war was proof that Russia underestimated japan, as japan had began rapid reformation and modernisation and the Japanese army/navy were very well equipped. Russia’s final embarrassment was the 8 month journey to fight the Japanese only to be blown out of the water within hours. They signed the peace treaty of Portsmouth. Russia lost due to poor organisation and commanding, as they were outmanoeuvred and the distance travelled made it close to impossible.

Russia’s defeat was a humiliation, and led to serious unrest and also directly led to the 1905 revolution

SUMMARY

Russian reasons – Expansion, Ice free port seizures and Military glory to distract ‘revolution’ and problems. Russia underestimated Japan.

Japanese took key Russian property Russian fleet was destroyed within hours after eight months, due to inadequate planning, the difficulty of travelling and Japanese skill, the aftermath saw humiliation and a direct event towards the 1905 revolution.
Nicholas has two main aspects of his reign which are the problems that he faced at a critical stage of Russian history, and the growth of opposition to Tsardom. Nicholas’ upbringing made him suspicious of reformation and he continued repressive attitudes. Konstantin Pobedonostsev was a very influential minister and was Nicholas’ tutor as a boy, who passed ‘ the deep distaste for liberal/democratic idea’s’ and believed that imperial autocracy was the only way to rule Russia. Nicholas followed suite.

Nicholas’s policies prove how out of touch he was with reform as they were reactionary. Russification was a severely enforced policy which declared Russian the first language and the courts were taken in this language alone and discrimination of over 50% of the population began, and the state influenced every aspect of their lives. Anti-Semitism means that the Jews were the greatest victim of Russification who were made to be scapegoats of Russian problems and suffered terrible pogroms.

Because of censorship and Russification/Anti-Semitism, opposition grew from Social Revolutionaries to Liberalist reformers, proof of Nicholas’s out of touch policy. However, Russia’s economy began to thrive thanks to the work of Peter Stolypin and Sergei Witte, who were very pro-tsar.

SUMMARY – Nicholas out of touch in policies, very much reactionary and influenced by POBEDONOSTSEV,
- Russification caused bitterness and much confusion
- The Jews suffered terribly due to pogroms
- Opposition grew


Economic Reformation under Witte, saw rapid growth in the coal from the Ukraine, Steel outputs in the Urals and Oil in Caucasus, which was maintained by his reforms and took forward through private enterprise. The Tsar had intentions of strengthening the arms of Russia through the money made. Witte invited foreign experts on how to make more of this money and compete on terms with the Great Nations.

State Capitalism, as witte was impressed by the economies of the democratic countries and wanted to follow along the same lines by trading (he did admit that Russia’s backwardness was a problem). Witte, then so arranged big loans and investments from foreign countries and imposed taxes. He also introduced Tarriff Reform. Witte also went on to put Russia on Gold Standard (fixed gold content) to stabilise the economy, and was largely successful although painful for those at home.

Witte recognised the importance of railways as they would have a positive effect on the economy (imports and exports, transporting supplies/materials around Russia) and invested heavily into them. He worked on the Trans-Siberian Railway Moscow-Vladivostok, which encouraged the migration of workers and was an impressive representation of the Russian Empire.

Witte did have his problems though, as he made Russia too dependent of foreign loans, and he also neglected the agricultural problems and light engineering however this can be balanced by arguing that this was the most he could tackle due to the problems he faced with Nicholas who deeply disliked him, who made his policies difficult to enforce.

SUMMARY

Economy under witte – growth in UKRAINE, URALS AND CAUCASUS
Tsar wanted money to strengthen army
Witte wanted to make Russia strong
– Foreign experts
– State Capitalism (trading with GN’s)
– Big loans + investments
– Tariff Reform and Taxes
– Gold Standard

He also invested in railways for export/import and worker migration, but was too dependent on foreign loans + neglected light engineering (repairing railway) and agriculture.

Thursday, 26 March 2009

Russia covered 8 Million square miles, with an increased population of 40 million to 165 million in under a hundred years. This Russia which covered two large sections over two continents was full of diverse cultures and nationalities, with 82% of people being peasants and under 50% of people being purely Russian. The country was controlled in the west, at St.Petersburg and Moscow leaving barely anything in the middle (apart from Vladivostok at the far edge). Therefore, Russia was a very difficult place to control.

Russia for centuries had been under the control of the Tsarist family the Romanovs, under Nicholas II at this point of history. The Tsar was autocratic and used absolute power, ‘Emperor of Russia is an autocratic and unlimited monarch’ and that he was chosen by god to rule Russia. Three parts of his governing were the Imperial Council, the Cabinet of Ministers and the Senate, who only advised the tsar what to do and he could ignore them at at will.
Russia compared to other European countries, was very politically and economically backward. As most governments in Europe had formed some form of democratic and elected council, Russia stuck with autocracy and the Tsar, who had limited reforms. Censorship was used heavily in Tsarist Russia, preventing liberal ideas from emerging, and political parties had no rights to exist, and all those who opposed the tsar would be arrested and possibly executed. This led to extremism, as underground liberals and revolutionaries began to appear, in the late 19th century with previous Tsars being assassinated. The Orthodox Church of Russia too was backward compared to the other Christian religions around Europe, as they remained very reactionary and unlikely to change their support for the tsar.

The amount of peasants compared to workers (4%) meant a very slow economic pace or development, though they had many textiles factories across the cities and an increased iron output at the Ural Mountains. It was on a very small scale, and the transport system of Russia was limited, exporting was next to impossible. Russia had a poor banking system and didn’t master the borrowing of loans for expansion, which discouraged entrepreneurialism. Russia also failed to form a strong Agrarian Economy (or farming market) as most land was unworkable due to the harsh conditions of the northern coast (arctic sea) with Arable farming only happening in the Ukraine and other southern provinces. Because 82% were peasants, there was simply not enough land to go around. The Emancipation decree allowed peasants to buy land, however most of them found it too expensive, and eventually a huge mortgage repayment. It is also thought that the Tsar saw the education of the ‘dark masses’ would be high dangerous, socially and politically. To keep them in check, they would be conscripted to the army, The Russian army was well known for severity and harsh treatment of its troops, and the training camps were seen more as penal colonies in Siberia plus the limited amount of supplies they had .

The Bureaucracy was also known to be corrupt as nepotism ran riot. The Army and various parts of the running of the country were in the control of people who were at that post for their own advantage and were given the post by Nicholas.

SUMMARY
Russian Problems so amounted to the Land, the Economy, the People, and the Tsarist System
• Russia’s land problem (control in west, nothing in the middle)
• Social (hundreds of nationalities, 82% peasants, tiny dominant elite)
• Economy (Poor banking and trading system, no industrial revolution, backward agriculture)
• Autocracy (One man in control of 165M, oppressed army, a corrupt bureaucracy and Reactionary church)